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Who will be the next Army Chief?

By A.R. Siddiqi

Who will be the next army chief? The question has generated some interest after General Musharraf's announcement that he would consider and name his successor before he steps down as army chief in December 2004.

Now, what importance should be attached to seniority in the selection and appointment of the next army chief? That remains to be seen. It is to be noted that for promotions from rank of major and above, seniority is counted as only one major factor. These are all 'selection' promotions that depend on several other factors. Some of these are: professional competence, personal character, loyalty, work attitude, number of courses passed and, above all, grades earned in the annual confidential reports (ACRs) prepared by their superior officers.

All promotions above the rank of major and up to major- general must go through the annual GHQ selection board held during the formation commanders' conference. Promotions to the rank of lieutenant-general and general remain the exclusive privilege of the president/prime minister at the recommendation of the army chief.

In almost all promotions to the top slot from Ayub to Musharraf, seniority was noticeably sidelined, even if considered and, in a number of cases, even caused a good deal of controversy. Ayub was promoted over the head of at least two of his senior major-generals, Mohammad Akbar Khan and N.A.M. Raza. General Akbar happened to be the senior most general officer of the Pakistan Army. His personal number was PA-I.

Ayub's successor General Mohammad Musa's promotion over the head of two of his seniors - major-generals Sher Ali Khan and Latif Khan, both commissioned from Sandhurst in 1933 - caused much bad blood and bitter controversy. Sher Ali and Latif Khan both resigned. However, while Sher Ali stood retired, Latif took back his resignation at the personal intercession of Ayub. Musa was commissioned from the Indian Military Academy (first course) in 1935, but had his service in the ranks count towards full seniority as well as pension to gain an advantage over the two senior generals.

Yahya Khan, who took over from Musa in September 1966, was promoted chief over the head of two senior lieutenant-generals, Altaf Qadir and Bakhtiar Rana. He tumbled through his fateful and traumatic period and tumbled out of it in the black December of 1971.

Lt-Gen Gul Hassan, the old cavalier, hopped on the high horse riderless after Yahya Khan's disgraceful fall. He superseded his senior, Lieut. Gen. Tikka Khan, Commander II Corps, Multan. Gul happened to be the last commander-in-chief and the first and the last one in the rank of lieutenant-general to have commanded the army.

He was summarily retired by President Zulfikar Ali Bhutto on March 2, 1972 in spite of his confirmed three-year tenure as C-in-C. Bhutto promoted Tikka Khan to full general and appointed him as chief of the army staff (COAS) instead of C-in-C. Tikka's promotion to full general, as a superseded lieutenant-general, remains the only example of its kind on the Pakistan Army list.

He completed his tenure in 1976 to leave prime minister Bhutto at sixes and sevens about his successor. He was looking for a person professionally compliant and personally loyal to him. On top of the list of senior lieutenant-generals was Gen Mohammad Sharif followed by Gen Mohammad Akbar Khan, Aftab Ahmad Khan, Azmat Awan, Abdul Majid, Ghulam Jeelani and Mohammad Ziaul Haq. Tikka had recommended Akbar for the top slot.

An ex-ISI chief and politically-oriented, Akbar was distrusted and seen as a potential coup-maker both by Bhutto and his personal secretary Afzal Saeed Khan. He was rejected out of hand.

After detailed consultation with his personal staff, Bhutto chose the senior-most Gen Sharif and junior-most Gen Zia, respectively, to be chairman, joint chiefs of staff committee and the chief of the army staff - a clean sweep of the seniority list.

Zia's vice-chiefs of staff, Sawar, Iqbal and Arif - all full generals - retired without making the top slot. Gen Mirza Aslam Beg, the incumbent vice-chief at the time of the Bahawalpur crash, hit his lucky patch and made it to the top.

Amongst Beg's successors, Asif Nawaz died while still half way through his tenure, Wahid Kakar completed his tenure, and Jehangir Karamat was summarily retired by Nawaz Sharif in October 1998 - just about four months short of completing his tenure. He yielded place to Lt Gen Pervez Musharraf, Commander, I Corps, Mangla.

It would be seen that seniority hardly had a part to play in any of the above promotions. Except perhaps for Jehangir Karamat, all others were placed way down the seniority list. Gen Pervez Musharraf himself superseded two seniors, Ali Quli Khan and Khalid Nawaz.

It would be interesting to see who makes it to the top job after Gen Musharraf. May be a senior major-general or one of newly promoted lieut. generals.

 



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