Pakistan’s national 
                        airline, PIA, is about to raise its domestic and international 
                        fares by 15 to 20 per cent after Prime Minister Shaukat 
                        Aziz refused to provide Rs 5 billion every year as equity 
                        and Chairman Choudhry Ahmed Saeed publicly admitted that 
                        the airline will not be able to achieve its annual targets 
                        for 2004-05.
                      Saeed’s belated confession 
                        was made on Friday, Jan 7, at Lahore where he told reporters 
                        at the inauguration of the new PIA complex at Allama Iqbal 
                        International Airport, that “meeting budgeted targets 
                        will be impossible.” 
                      Saeed gave the rising fuel 
                        prices as the reason for his failure but said: “We 
                        will hopefully be able to meet our targets from 2006 onwards.
                      PM Shaukat Aziz had last 
                        week received a briefing from Saeed and his men in Islamabad 
                        but his request to bail out PIA with a Rs 5 billion equity 
                        shot every year was not accepted after the young State 
                        Minister of Finance attacked Saeed for incompetence and 
                        misleading the Government through his tall and deceptive 
                        claims.
                      Rebuffed, and in a soup, 
                        Chairman Saeed has placed his other option before the 
                        Government, asking for a hefty 15 to 20 per cent increase 
                        in PIA fares, if the airline was to stay afloat. 
                      But before Shaukat Aziz 
                        could approve his demand, Saeed was already boasting before 
                        his friends at a wedding ceremony in Lahore that he had 
                        “got the Government by its balls.”
                      “General Musharraf 
                        has publicly praised PIA in his address to the nation 
                        on Dec 30. Shaukat Aziz has said on TV that PIA had been 
                        turned around. Both these leaders are claiming success 
                        of PIA as their own political achievement. How can they 
                        now refuse to bail us out,” the Chairman told colleagues 
                        in high spirits at the wedding.
                      Saeed’s confession 
                        was a confirmation of all the stories published by the 
                        South Asia Tribune in recent months warning everyone that 
                        the misleading and manipulated accounts being dished out 
                        to the nation did not reflect the real situation which 
                        was showing a devastating picture of the national airline 
                        going down faster than anyone could imagine. Click to 
                        View Charge Sheet against Chairman Saeed
                      Mr. Saeed also confirmed 
                        that the Government of Shaukat Aziz had refused to fund 
                        the purchase of the new Bombardier Dash-8 aircraft to 
                        replace the Fokker Fleet, as reported earlier by South 
                        Asia Tribune. Click to Read Report
                      “I took up the issue 
                        of subsidy for Fokker replacement with the Government, 
                        but we have neither been given an approval nor has our 
                        request been turned down," he said, but then could 
                        not restrain his anger at Shaukat Aziz: "It will 
                        be unfair on the Government’s part if it asks PIA 
                        to replace the Fokkers with its own resources as they 
                        are operated on non-commercial routes,” he blurted 
                        out.
                      This statement before the 
                        journalists of Lahore published in the mainstream Pakistani 
                        media finally ended Saeed’s quest to buy another 
                        fleet of aircraft before he would quit the airline as 
                        the Chairman, some time around April, leaving behind the 
                        biggest financial scandal of the Musharraf regime.
                      His tenure has seen the 
                        wildest ever buying spree by PIA accompanied by programs 
                        which allowed him and his cronies to spend billions, and 
                        in turn make millions, in the process.
                      Saeed’s claims in 
                        the past few years that PIA would be earning billions 
                        in profits went up in the air as he finally conceded that 
                        PIA would not be able to achieve its financial targets 
                        before 2006. But by that time, Saeed would have left the 
                        airline and may already have consumed most of the money 
                        he made in cooler climes abroad.
                      But the way Saeed once 
                        again lied through his teeth and misled and confused everyone 
                        by misrepresenting facts and figures on Friday did not 
                        surprise aviation experts. His statement that PIA would 
                        not achieve its targets set for 2004-05 was in itself 
                        a big deception as PIA’s financial calendar starts 
                        from January and ends in December. So talking about 2004-05 
                        meant he was mixing and confusing the figures for two 
                        years, so that readers may not be able to make out what 
                        happened in one particular period.
                      Just 16 days before Saeed 
                        confessed, the Board of Directors of PIA, which met for 
                        its 283rd meeting in Karachi, was told that PIA would 
                        make a pre-tax profit of Rs 1.7 billion in 2004. “The 
                        Board was presented with the Budget Estimates for 2005 
                        on which the Board deliberated upon in length and approved. 
                        The Budget reflects the revenue earnings of Rupees 63.8 
                        billion and the total cost of Rupees 61.38 billion. The 
                        pretax profit has been estimated at Rupees 1.7 billion,” 
                        a Press release of PIA said after the meeting. Click to 
                        view Press Release
                      On October 26, 2004, the 
                        same Board met and a Press release then said: "The 
                        July-September 2004 accounts of PIAC presented to its 
                        Board of Directors in its 282nd meeting held here today 
                        declared an after-tax loss of Rs. 386 million." Click 
                        to view Press Release
                      His 2004 accounts have 
                        already been proved to be totally and creatively manipulated. 
                        The balance sheet for the first 9 months of January-September 
                        2004 reveals this fact. A quick look at the Page-9, Point 
                        22 reveals a loss before tax of Rs 88.637 million but 
                        how this loss has been manipulated into a Rs 1.1 billion 
                        profit is amazing. See Chart on Top or Click
                      And for this jugglery of 
                        figures, the following explanation has been given on Page-9: 
                        “During the period (Jan-Sept, 2004), an exercise 
                        was undertaken to organize the records relating to pending 
                        income tax assessments of the Corporation and a detailed 
                        tax position of the Corporation's open assessments was 
                        prepared. This has resulted in revision to provision for 
                        taxation made for the year ended December 2003 and adjustment 
                        to deferred tax liability.”
                      Thus under this vague and 
                        hard-to-understand explanation Rs 1.3 billion have been 
                        added as “prior and deferred taxation” and 
                        very conveniently a profit after tax of Rs 1.01 billion 
                        has been arrived at. 
                      With friends sitting in 
                        the Presidency and Saeed claiming openly everywhere that 
                        he had already lined up his support structure in the Pakistan 
                        People’s Party which, he says, will shortly come 
                        into power, Saeed is confident that no one will challenge 
                        his figures and question his decisions or performance.
                      Aviation industry experts 
                        also laugh at the excuses Saeed has been dishing out to 
                        the Government for his lack of proper management of the 
                        airline. The biggest excuse is the increase in fuel price 
                        but when Saeed was making his statement in Lahore on Friday 
                        about PIA not achieving its targets in even 2005, fuel 
                        prices had already dropped by at least Rs 4 a liter and 
                        were dropping further. Click to view Report
                      In comparison to PIA how 
                        other major airlines of the region coped with the fuel 
                        crisis is very interesting as not one major airline made 
                        such a big fuss about the price increase as the managements 
                        anticipated the rise and took steps to meet the challenge.
                      Some airlines, like PIA, 
                        including Cathay Pacific, Singapore and Qantas, have added 
                        a fuel surcharge on specific routes to counter higher 
                        fuel costs. Asia's biggest carrier, Japan Airlines decided 
                        against a fuel surcharge but it hedged about 50 percent 
                        of its fuel costs.
                      "High oil prices will 
                        not affect our purchases or monthly consumption. This 
                        is the peak demand season," said Sophia Lin, General 
                        Manager at Taiwan's China Airlines fuel department, whose 
                        fuel costs make up about 26 percent of total expenditure. 
                        The Taiwan carrier has hedged 70 percent of its fuel costs, 
                        but it is also considering introducing fuel surcharges.
                      But PIA, despite the surcharge, 
                        did not take any other innovative measure to counter the 
                        fuel price rise. In fact, in a dirty trick, it included 
                        the fuel surcharge as part of its revenue to boost its 
                        profit-loss figures, an insider said.
                      The structure of PIA fares 
                        is also highly manipulative, specially for the devoted 
                        and emotional traffic to Islamic religious sites in Saudi 
                        Arabia. For instance for a 7-hour return flight to Jeddah, 
                        PIA is charging Rs 34,000 (US$ 567) but for a 16-hour 
                        return flight to London the fare is also Rs 34,000. With 
                        double the fuel cost, PIA subsidizes passengers going 
                        to London and charges the lovers of Khana-e-Ka’aba, 
                        the House of God.
                      How devout Muslims are 
                        being taken for an expensive ride is obvious.